The 2024 Arizona Republican presidential primary was held on March 19, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 43 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis. The contest was held alongside primaries in Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio.
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43 Republican National Convention delegates | |||||||||||||||||||
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County results |
Background
In the 2016 Republican presidential contest, Donald Trump won the Arizona primary with 46.0% of the vote, with his nearest opponent, Senator Ted Cruz, taking 27.6% of the vote. In the 2020 primaries, the Arizona Republican Party canceled their contest.
Candidates
The filing deadline was December 11, 2023. The following candidates filed:
- John Anthony Castro
- David Stuckenberg
- Donald Trump
- Ryan Binkley (withdrew February 27, 2024)
- Chris Christie (withdrew January 10, 2024)
- Ron DeSantis (withdrew January 21, 2024)
- Nikki Haley (withdrew March 6, 2024)
- Asa Hutchinson (withdrew January 16, 2024)
- Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrew January 15, 2024)
Endorsements
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn)
- Former federal executive official
- Don Tapia, U.S. Ambassador to Jamaica (2019–2021)
- Former U.S. Representative
- Matt Salmon, AZ-05 (2013–2017) and AZ-01 (1995–2001)
- State senators
- T.J. Shope, District 16 (2023–present) and District 8 (2021–2023); President Pro Tempore (2023–present); House Speaker Pro Tempore (2017–2021)
- Ken Bennett, District 1 (1999–2007 and 2023–present); Arizona Secretary of State (2009–2015); President (2003–2007)
- Steve Kaiser, District 2 (2023–present)
- J.D. Mesnard, District 13 (2023–present) and District 17 (2019–2023); House Speaker (2017–2019)
- Frank Carroll, District 28 (2023–present)
- State representatives
- Ben Toma, District 27 (2023–present) and District 22 (2017–2023); Speaker (2023–present); Majority Leader (2021–2023)
- Teresa Martinez, District 16 (2023–present) and District 11 (2021–2023); Majority Whip (2023–present)
- Justin Wilmeth, District 2 (2023–present) and District 15 (2021–2023)
- David Cook, District 7 (2023–present) and District 8 (2017–2023)
- Lupe Diaz, District 19 (2023–present) and District 14 (2021–2023)
- Kevin Payne, District 27 (2023–present) and District 21 (2017–2023)
- Beverly Pingerelli, District 28 (2023–present) and District 21 (2021–2023)
- County official
- Jonathan Lines, Yuma County Supervisor from District 2 (2021–present); Chair of the Arizona Republican Party (2017–2019)
- Notable individuals
- Jim Lamon, founder of DEFCOM Power, Inc. and Republican candidate for U.S. Senator from Arizona in 2022
- Meghan McCain, political commentator and daughter of 2008 nominee for President John McCain (switched endorsement to Haley)
Nikki Haley (withdrawn)
- Notable individuals
- Meghan McCain, political commentator and daughter of 2008 nominee for President John McCain
Donald Trump
- U.S. Representatives
- Andy Biggs, AZ-05 (2017–present)
- Eli Crane, AZ-02 (2023–present)
- Paul Gosar, AZ-09 (2011–present)
- Debbie Lesko, AZ-08 (2018–present)
- State senators
- Anthony Kern, Member of the Arizona Senate from the 27th District (2023–present)
- Wendy Rogers, District 7 (2023–present) and 6th district (2021–2023)
- Justine Wadsack, District 17 (2023–present)
- State representatives
- Mark Finchem, District 11 (2015–2023); Republican nominee in the 2022 Arizona Secretary of State election
- Rachel Jones, District 17 (2023–present)
- Cody McGarr, District 17 (2023–present)
- Austin Smith, Member of the Arizona House of Representatives from the 29th district (2023–present)
- Former county official
- Joe Arpaio, Maricopa County Sheriff (1993–2017)
- Notable individuals
- Kari Lake, news anchor; Republican nominee in the 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election
- Blake Masters, venture capitalist and the Republican nominee for U.S. Senator from Arizona in 2022
Declined to endorse
- U.S. Representative
- David Schweikert, AZ-01 (2023–present), AZ-06 (2013–2021), AZ-05 (2011–2013)
Results
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 492,299 | 78.8% | 43 | 43 | |
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) | 110,966 | 17.8% | |||
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 10,131 | 1.6% | |||
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 5,078 | 0.8% | |||
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 2,479 | 0.4% | |||
David Stuckenberg | 1,367 | 0.2% | |||
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 891 | 0.1% | |||
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 714 | 0.1% | |||
John Anthony Castro | 505 | 0.1% | |||
Total: | 624,431 | 100.0% | 43 | 43 | |
Source: |
Polling
States polled | Dates administered | Dates updated | Nikki Haley | Donald Trump | Other/ Undecided | Margin |
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FiveThirtyEight | through February 4, 2024 | March 5, 2024 | 19.9% | 77.3% | 2.8% | Trump +57.4 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Chris Christie | Ron DeSantis | Nikki Haley | Asa Hutchinson | Mike Pence | Vivek Ramaswamy | Tim Scott | Donald Trump | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noble Predictive Insights | October 25–31, 2023 | 348 (RV) | ± 5.25% | 2% | 16% | 8% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 53% | 7% | – |
– | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 68% | – | – | ||||
Emerson College | August 2–4, 2023 | 663 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 6% | 11% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 58% | 11% | 1% |
Noble Predictive Insights | July 13–17, 2023 | 346 (RV) | ± 5.3% | 2% | 19% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 9% | 2% | 50% | 7% | – |
– | 38% | – | – | – | – | – | 62% | – | – | ||||
J.L. Partners | Apr 10–12, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | – | 24% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 47% | 8% | 11% |
– | 35% | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 13% | ||||
Noble Predictive Insights | Apr 4–11, 2023 | 371 (RV) | ± 5.1% | – | 21% | 4% | – | 7% | – | 0% | 49% | 20% | – |
– | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | – | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | Mar 13–14, 2023 | – | – | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | – | 52% | – | 24% |
OH Predictive Insights | Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2023 | 350 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 1% | 26% | 5% | – | 8% | – | – | 42% | 11% | 7% |
Blueprint Polling | Jan 5–8, 2023 | 303 (V) | – | – | 34% | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | 23% |
Echelon Insights | Aug 31 – Sep 7, 2022 | 337 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | – | 11% |
OH Predictive Insights | Nov 1–8, 2021 | 252 (RV) | ± 6.2% | 1% | 16% | 6% | – | 9% | – | – | 48% | 9% | 9% |
0% | 29% | 8% | – | 21% | – | – | – | 25% | 16% |