The 2024 United States presidential election in Oklahoma is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Oklahoma voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
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A deeply red state entrenched in the Bible Belt, Oklahoma has not backed a Democratic presidential candidate since it was won by Lyndon B. Johnson of neighboring Texas in 1964 and since then has only been competitive at this level in the nationwide victories of former Southern governors Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton. In addition, Republican presidential candidates have consistently won every county in the state starting with Texan George W. Bush in 2004 — although Oklahoma County, home to the state capital Oklahoma City, was closely decided in 2020. Oklahoma is expected to be safely carried by the GOP in 2024.
Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announced in May that he is officially on the ballot in the state.
Primary elections
Democratic primary
The Oklahoma Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |||
Joe Biden (incumbent) | 66,882 | 72.98% | 36 | 36 | |
Marianne Williamson | 8,356 | 9.12% | |||
Dean Phillips | 8,182 | 8.93% | |||
Stephen Lyons | 4,441 | 4.85% | |||
Cenk Uygur | 1,974 | 2.15% | |||
Armando Perez-Serrato | 1,809 | 1.97% | |||
Total: | 91,644 | 100.00% | 40 | 40 | |
Source: |
Republican primary
The Oklahoma Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Donald Trump | 254,928 | 81.83% | 43 | 43 | |
Nikki Haley | 49,406 | 15.86% | |||
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) | 3,946 | 1.27% | |||
Chris Christie (withdrawn) | 1,095 | 0.35% | |||
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) | 1,022 | 0.33% | |||
Asa Hutchinson (withdrawn) | 431 | 0.14% | |||
David Stuckenberg | 397 | 0.13% | |||
Ryan Binkley (withdrawn) | 303 | 0.10% | |||
Total: | 311,528 | 100.00% | 43 | 43 | |
Source: |
Libertarian primary
The Oklahoma Libertarian primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. Jacob Hornberger and Chase Oliver were qualified by petition for placement on the ballot. This is the first presidential preference primary for any alternative party in the state.
Oliver and Hornberger participated in a forum at Rose State College in Midwest City, Oklahoma, on February 7, 2024.
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chase Oliver | 569 | 61.25% | |||
Jacob Hornberger | 360 | 38.75% | |||
Total: | 929 | 100% | |||
Source: |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report | Solid R | December 19, 2023 |
Inside Elections | Solid R | April 26, 2023 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Solid R | June 29, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill | Solid R | December 14, 2023 |
CNalysis | Solid R | December 30, 2023 |
CNN | Solid R | January 14, 2024 |
Polling
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 61% | 30% | 9% |
Emerson College | October 1–3, 2023 | 447 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 55% | 27% | 18% |
Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 59% | 30% | 11% |
SoonerPoll | October 4–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 53% | 41% | 6% |
Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (LV) | ± 6.3% | 63% | 30% | 7% |
- Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump Republican | Joe Biden Democratic | Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent | Cornel West Independent | Jill Stein Green | Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cygnal (R) | April 11–12, 2024 | 615 (LV) | ± 3.83% | 56% | 24% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 10% |